PRACTICE / STRATEGY

New businesses and business-model design.

Start with needs customers will pay to address, then design growth that can be delivered and repeated.

Methodology: The ZHICE Scenario-led Strategy Method
THE REAL CHALLENGE

Define the problem first.

Existing assets and technical capabilities can provide a starting point for new energy businesses, but they do not automatically create a sustainable business model. Whether customers pay for reliable supply, cost improvement, low-carbon requirements or operating services determines the product boundary, contract and delivery system. ZHICE examines four interdependent elements: customer needs, the value proposition, delivery arrangements and the revenue mechanism. Targeted market validation reduces uncertainty. Early work establishes evidence; expansion then tests unit economics and the conditions for replication.

BEYOND THE SYMPTOMS

Look beyond symptoms.
Understand the business logic.

New-business design begins by distinguishing the existence of a need from a viable business model. A customer considering a problem important does not establish budget availability, willingness to buy or ability to cooperate in delivery. ZHICE identifies users, decision-makers and payers separately, checking the outcomes sought, current alternatives and conditions for adopting a new service. We then establish how value will be measured, attributed and settled so that commitments match delivery boundaries. Technology, assets and channels must demonstrate their usefulness in specific customer tasks.

Validation focuses on assumptions most critical to commercial viability, rather than demonstrating the greatest number of functions. ZHICE first defines the evidence needed to justify further investment, then selects interviews, trials, joint validation or limited delivery. Validation records adoption, delivery demands and actual costs, distinguishing elements that can be standardised from those dependent on special conditions. Before expansion, reassess unit economics, key-person workload and partner dependencies to establish a conditional replication path and stop criteria.

A TOOL FOR THE WORKING SESSION

Turn diagnosis into verifiable questions.

DECISION TOOL

Four tests of business-model viability

Swipe to explore the complete table

Critical assumptionEvidence requiredValidation approachConditions to proceed
Customers will buyUser requirements, budget sources, decision processes, current alternatives and acceptance requirements.Interview users and budget decision-makers separately, using an explicit service scope to test real purchasing conditions.Identify a purchasing entity and acceptance criteria, beyond positive reactions to a concept.
Value can be realisedOperating conditions affecting results, measurement baselines, customer cooperation and external dependencies.Test how outcomes arise in representative settings, recording factors outside control or difficult to attribute.Explain realisation and verification of value, with commitments consistent with the supplier's control.
Delivery is sustainableStaff input, equipment and service costs, exception handling, partner capability and responsibility boundaries.Use limited delivery to test workloads, service continuity and issue resolution, including hidden costs.Core delivery has stable owners and resources, with executable arrangements for exceptions.
The model can replicateDifferences in rules, demand, assets and delivery conditions across regions and customers.Compare standard modules with unavoidable customisation and calculate non-shareable resources needed for each additional project.Define the applicable customer scope, replication prerequisites and conditions unsuitable for expansion.
Business-model validation framework. Trial evidence applies to its specified context and does not itself establish market validation at scale.

Four checks before the engagement begins

01Have customer needs, purchasing decisions and payment responsibilities each been verified?

02Can the promised improvement be measured and attributed, and which external conditions affect delivery?

03Have hidden coordination, review and after-sales costs been recorded?

04For each new project, which resources must be added and which capabilities can actually be reused?

HOW WE WORK

From diagnosis to implementation.

Three connected levels form the working approach. Select a stage to explore the detail.

01

Validate the customer problem

Interview users, budget owners and procurement decision-makers separately to establish actual requirements and acceptance conditions for continuity, cost, compliance or carbon information.

02

Determine who captures value

Distinguish customer improvement from the revenue a supplier can earn. Test whether benefits can be measured, attributed and settled; sector demand does not establish willingness to pay.

03

Assess delivery boundaries

Review internal and partner capabilities. Specify responsibility for equipment, operations, data and customer relationships, and identify the risks carried by service commitments.

TANGIBLE OUTPUTS

Deliverables designed for
real work.

Agree depth, data conditions and acceptance criteria at initiation. The engagement scope follows the tasks confirmed by both parties.

01

Customer needs and value-proposition brief

02

Business-model and responsibility map

03

Pilot validation brief

04

Conditions for scalable delivery and replication

ILLUSTRATIVE SCENARIO

From industrial-park supply to integrated energy services

Illustrative scenario

An energy business wants to expand integrated energy services for industrial-park customers. This example sets out the sequence for testing commercial assumptions; it includes no actual client or promise of returns.

  1. 01

    Distinguish customer needs for supply reliability, energy costs and carbon information.

  2. 02

    Select an initial service with an identified budget owner and explicit acceptance conditions.

  3. 03

    Use a pilot to verify delivery costs, measurement methods and the cooperation required from customers.

  4. 04

    Once replication conditions are met, define standard service modules, contract boundaries and a regional expansion plan.

BOARDROOM QUESTIONS

Focus the discussion on these choices.

01Which outcomes will customers pay for, and who controls the budget and decision?

02Can existing capabilities deliver the service commitment consistently and support independent verification?

03How many additional, non-shareable resources does each replicated project require?

RESEARCH FOUNDATIONS

Research brought into
consulting practice.

We translate management research and technological advances into working methods for energy businesses. The frameworks below are ZHICE's synthesis of the research and industry questions.

David J. Teece / Strategic Management JournalExplicating Dynamic Capabilities: The Nature and Microfoundations of (Sustainable) Enterprise Performance · 2007-08-07

Application in the ZHICE approachDraws on the theoretical perspectives of sensing opportunities, organising resources and reconfiguring capabilities to connect strategic assumptions with capability allocation.

Scope and limitationsThe paper was written in 2007 and added to SSRN in 2025; the repository date is not a new research date. The five-stage consulting process is ZHICE's own synthesis.

Read the original research
International Energy Agency (IEA)World Energy Outlook 2025 · 2025-11-12

Application in the ZHICE approachUses multiple-scenario analysis to distinguish how policy, market and technology changes affect energy businesses.

Scope and limitationsScenarios explore possible pathways rather than certain forecasts. Global scenarios do not replace enterprise or regional project appraisals.

Read the original research
OUR PRACTICE

Explore the critical questions.

Each practice examines diagnosis, solution design, implementation and delivery requirements in detail.